Type of Job:

Blue collar
Generative AI will mostly affect white-collar jobs by automating or changing tasks. Blue-collar jobs will likely see higher demand and wages as premium goods become more popular.

What Constitutes Artificial intelligence (AI)?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a technology that allows systems, whether software or machine-based, to autonomously make predictions, recommendations, or decisions that impact both real and virtual environments without the need for constant human guidance or intervention.

Sources

Author:

Juan D. Montoya

Juan D. Montoya

Economist and AI researcher.

Will Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters be replaced by AI & Robots?

Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters risk of being automated:

Medium

This job has a medium likelihood of substantial automation within the next 20 years, placing it in the third quartile for automation probability among occupations.

Current Degree of Automation:

30
(1-100)

Source

Key findings

Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) is set to impact but not transform the work of Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters.

Blue-collar jobs like this are unlikely to be automated by GenAI due to the physical nature of the tasks involved.

The unique automation wave of GenAI may actually benefit blue-collar workers by increasing demand for their services.

However, certain skills used in this job, such as Operations Monitoring and Coordination, could be automated in the future.

Despite this, the role of Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters will remain shielded from major AI disruption, ensuring their continued relevance in the workforce.

How could AI or automation replace or complement job activities?

Artificial intelligence, automation, or language models like ChatGPT could potentially assist in automating certain tasks of Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters.

For instance, they could help in monitoring and analyzing train routes, schedules, and cargo information.

However, the complex and hands-on nature of activities such as directing yard workers, inspecting trains, and ensuring passenger services may require human judgment and interaction that AI may not fully replicate.

For example, AI could assist in optimizing train configurations based on cargo information, but human supervision would still be crucial in ensuring safe and efficient operations.

Job description

Coordinates the activities of switch-engine crew in a railroad yard, industrial plant, or similar location. Conducts activities of train crew on passenger or freight trains. Reviews train schedules and switching orders and coordinates activities of workers engaged in railroad traffic operations, such as the makeup or breakup of trains and yard switching.

Consequence of Making Errors

83

(1-100)

Very serious Source
Jobs with serious error consequences, like those in engineering or science, face higher automation chances. As technology advances, machines may take over tasks needing precise judgment and data interpretation.

How Repetitive is the Job?

67

(1-100)

Important Source
Jobs like Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters, with many repetitive tasks, face higher automation risks. Yet, automation often targets specific tasks, meaning some roles may evolve rather than disappear entirely.
Average Anual salary USD$
$69,190
Number of profesionals in USA
48,000

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