Type of Job:

White collar
Generative AI will change white-collar jobs by automating tasks or enhancing work. Highly skilled jobs may face the most impact, while blue-collar jobs may see increased demand and pay.

What Constitutes Artificial intelligence (AI)?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a technology that allows systems, whether software or machine-based, to autonomously make predictions, recommendations, or decisions that impact both real and virtual environments without the need for constant human guidance or intervention.

Sources

Author:

Juan D. Montoya

Juan D. Montoya

Economist and AI researcher.

Will Locomotive Engineers be replaced by AI & Robots?

Locomotive Engineers risk of being automated:

High

This job is highly likely to be substantially automated within the next 20 years, placing it in the upper quartile for automation probability among occupations.

Current Degree of Automation:

19
(1-100)

Source

Key findings

GenAI is unlikely to automate blue-collar jobs like Locomotive Engineers due to the physical nature of their work.

The unique automation wave may even increase demand for such workers, leading to a rise in their income share.

While some skills of Locomotive Engineers could be automated in the future, tasks like operating locomotives and following safety protocols require human judgment and coordination.

GenAI will impact but not transform the work, ensuring blue-collar workers remain shielded from major disruption.

How could AI or automation replace or complement job activities?

AI and automation could be used to automate activities such as monitoring gauges, detecting obstructions on tracks, and inspecting locomotives for mechanical problems in the job of operating trains.

Chatgpt could assist in preparing reports on encountered problems or ensuring documentation availability in the driver’s cab.

For instance, AI could analyze gauge readings to identify potential mechanical issues before they escalate.

Job description

Operate electric, diesel-electric, steam, or gas-turbine-electric locomotives to move passengers or cargo. Follow train orders, signals, and railroad rules.

Consequence of Making Errors

77

(1-100)

Serious Source
When errors have serious consequences, like in engineering, automation becomes more likely. Machines can reduce risks, ensuring safer operations and more precise outcomes in the future.

How Repetitive is the Job?

65

(1-100)

Important Source
Jobs like locomotive engineers, which involve many repetitive tasks, face a higher risk of automation. However, it's likely that only specific tasks will be automated, not the entire role.
Average Anual salary USD$
$73,850
Number of profesionals in USA
#

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