Type of Job:

Blue collar
Generative AI will likely change white-collar jobs by automating tasks or enhancing work. Blue-collar jobs will remain stable, possibly increasing demand and pay for skilled workers.

What Constitutes Artificial intelligence (AI)?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a technology that allows systems, whether software or machine-based, to autonomously make predictions, recommendations, or decisions that impact both real and virtual environments without the need for constant human guidance or intervention.

Sources

Author:

Juan D. Montoya

Juan D. Montoya

Economist and AI researcher.

Will Sailors and Marine Oilers be replaced by AI & Robots?

Sailors and Marine Oilers risk of being automated:

Medium

This job has a medium likelihood of substantial automation within the next 20 years, placing it in the third quartile for automation probability among occupations.

Current Degree of Automation:

13
(1-100)

Source

Key findings

Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) is set to impact, but not transform, the work of sailors and marine oilers.

Blue-collar jobs like these are unlikely to be automated by GenAI due to the physical nature of the tasks involved.

The unique automation wave of GenAI may even increase demand for blue-collar workers, leading to a rise in their income share.

While some skills used in this work may be automated in the future, such as operations monitoring and troubleshooting, the core tasks of sailors and marine oilers, like critical thinking and repairing, will likely remain shielded from major AI disruption.

How could AI or automation replace or complement job activities?

In the context of Sailors and Marine Oilers, AI, automation, or LLMs like ChatGPT could be used to assist in tasks such as monitoring pressure and temperature gauges, recording data, and providing navigational aid alerts.

However, the complexity of tasks like rigging, cargo handling, and emergency procedures may limit complete automation.

For example, AI could help sailors by providing real-time weather updates and navigation suggestions, but human intervention would still be essential for tasks requiring physical dexterity and decision-making skills.

Job description

Observes for obstacles in the vessel’s path, checks water depth, operates the wheel on the bridge, and follows instructions from the captain, mate, or pilot. Prepares, sets up, and maintains cargo-handling equipment, rigging, and gear. Conducts maintenance tasks to keep the ship’s surface and equipment in good condition. Required to have government certification and tankerman certification for liquid-carrying vessels. Positions include able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Consequence of Making Errors

81

(1-100)

Very serious Source
Jobs with serious error consequences, like those in engineering, face a higher chance of automation. As technology advances, machines may better handle critical decisions, reducing risks and enhancing safety.

How Repetitive is the Job?

61

(1-100)

Important Source
Jobs like Sailors and Marine Oilers, which involve many repetitive tasks, face higher automation risks. However, automation will likely target specific tasks, not entire roles, reshaping work over the years.
Average Anual salary USD$
$53,350
Number of profesionals in USA
17,000

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