Type of Job:

Blue collar
Generative AI will mostly affect white-collar jobs by automating or changing tasks. Blue-collar jobs will stay stable, with more demand for skilled workers and potentially higher pay.

What Constitutes Artificial intelligence (AI)?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a technology that allows systems, whether software or machine-based, to autonomously make predictions, recommendations, or decisions that impact both real and virtual environments without the need for constant human guidance or intervention.

Sources

Author:

Juan D. Montoya

Juan D. Montoya

Economist and AI researcher.

Will Machinists be replaced by AI & Robots?

Machinists risk of being automated:

Medium

This job has a medium likelihood of substantial automation within the next 20 years, placing it in the third quartile for automation probability among occupations.

Current Degree of Automation:

51
(1-100)

Source

Key findings

GenAI’s impact on blue-collar jobs like machinists is unlikely to be transformative.

The unique automation wave may not harm these workers, as GenAI cannot perform physical tasks.

Increased demand for premium goods may even boost the need for blue-collar workers.

While some skills may be automated in the future, tasks like critical thinking and troubleshooting in machinist work are likely to remain essential.

Automation may streamline certain aspects of the job, but the core skills and tasks of machinists are expected to endure.

How could AI or automation replace or complement job activities?

Artificial intelligence, automation, or language models like ChatGPT could potentially assist machinists by automating tasks such as programming machines, evaluating machining procedures, or diagnosing malfunctions.

However, they may not fully replace the need for human expertise in tasks that require creativity, adaptability, or physical dexterity.

For example, AI could help in optimizing machining processes but may not be able to entirely replicate the problem-solving skills and hands-on work of a machinist in fabricating products.

Job description

Operates machine tools to make precise metal parts and instruments. This job involves making, adjusting, or fixing mechanical instruments. The person may also create or adjust parts for machine tools, repair machines, and use knowledge of mechanics, math, metal properties, layout, and machining methods.

Consequence of Making Errors

51

(1-100)

Moderately serious Source
In law enforcement, machinists' moderately serious errors don't directly indicate automation potential, as other factors matter more.

How Repetitive is the Job?

72

(1-100)

Very important Source
Jobs like machinists, which involve repetitive tasks, face a higher risk of automation. However, automation usually targets specific tasks, meaning some parts of a machinist's role may change, not disappear.
Average Anual salary USD$
$51,430
Number of profesionals in USA
307,000

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