Type of Job:

Blue collar
Generative AI will likely change white-collar jobs by automating tasks or enhancing work. Blue-collar jobs won't face this risk and may see more demand, boosting wages.

What Constitutes Artificial intelligence (AI)?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a technology that allows systems, whether software or machine-based, to autonomously make predictions, recommendations, or decisions that impact both real and virtual environments without the need for constant human guidance or intervention.

Sources

Author:

Juan D. Montoya

Juan D. Montoya

Economist and AI researcher.

Will School Bus Drivers be replaced by AI & Robots?

Bus Drivers, School risk of being automated:

Medium

This job has a medium likelihood of substantial automation within the next 20 years, placing it in the third quartile for automation probability among occupations.

Current Degree of Automation:

32
(1-100)

Source

Key findings

Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) is not likely to impact the work of school bus drivers.

This profession involves physically driving a bus, ensuring student safety, and providing assistance when needed.

GenAI lacks the capability to perform such physical tasks, thus school bus drivers are shielded from automation.

The demand for their services may even increase with a growing need for premium transportation of students.

How could AI or automation replace or complement job activities?

Artificial intelligence, automation, or LLMs like ChatGPT could potentially assist school bus drivers by optimizing routes, enhancing safety protocols, and facilitating communication with parents and school officials.

However, these technologies may not fully replace the driver’s role in ensuring student safety, conducting inspections, and providing assistance during boarding and exiting.

For example, AI could help in route planning and scheduling, but the driver’s presence is crucial for real-time decision-making in unpredictable situations.

Job description

Drives a school bus to take students to and from school. Makes sure everyone follows safety rules. Might help students get on and off the bus.

Consequence of Making Errors

75

(1-100)

Serious Source
When errors have serious consequences, like in driving, automation becomes more likely. Safety risks push for tech solutions, as machines can reduce dangerous outcomes in the future.

How Repetitive is the Job?

52

(1-100)

Important Source
Jobs like school bus drivers involve many repetitive tasks, making them more prone to automation. However, it's likely that only specific tasks will be automated, not the whole role. Future changes could reshape these jobs!
Average Anual salary USD$
$42,400

Source

Number of profesionals in USA
218,000

Source

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