Type of Job:

Blue collar
Generative AI will change white-collar jobs by automating or enhancing tasks, affecting high-paying roles most. Blue-collar jobs will stay strong, with rising demand boosting wages.

What Constitutes Artificial intelligence (AI)?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a technology that allows systems, whether software or machine-based, to autonomously make predictions, recommendations, or decisions that impact both real and virtual environments without the need for constant human guidance or intervention.

Sources

Author:

Juan D. Montoya

Juan D. Montoya

Economist and AI researcher.

Will Public Transport Bus Drivers be replaced by AI & Robots?

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity risk of being automated:

Medium

This job has a medium likelihood of substantial automation within the next 20 years, placing it in the third quartile for automation probability among occupations.

Current Degree of Automation:

32
(1-100)

Source

Key findings

Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) is not likely to automate blue-collar jobs such as Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity.

The unique automation wave of GenAI may actually increase the demand for these workers due to the rise in premium goods and services.

Blue-collar workers will continue to be shielded from major AI disruption as GenAI is unable to perform physical tasks.

In the future, skills like Operations Monitoring and Time Management could be automated, but the core tasks of the job, such as active listening and critical thinking, will remain essential.

GenAI will impact but not transform the work by enhancing efficiency and possibly increasing job demand.

How could AI or automation replace or complement job activities?

Artificial intelligence and automation could potentially assist bus drivers by managing route planning, monitoring vehicle maintenance, and handling passenger inquiries.

However, tasks requiring human interaction, such as assisting passengers and responding to emergencies, may not be easily automated.

For example, AI could help optimize bus schedules and maintenance, but drivers would still be needed to ensure passenger safety and comfort throughout the journey.

Job description

Drives buses or motor coaches on regular routes, charters, and private trips. Helps passengers with luggage and may also collect fares or tickets.

Consequence of Making Errors

73

(1-100)

Serious Source
When errors have serious consequences, like in safety-sensitive roles, automation becomes more likely. Machines can reduce risks and improve reliability, paving the way for safer transport options in the future.

How Repetitive is the Job?

52

(1-100)

Important Source
Jobs like bus drivers involve many repetitive tasks, making them prime candidates for automation. However, it's likely that only specific tasks will be automated, not the entire role. In the coming years, we may see automation assist drivers rather than replace them entirely.
Average Anual salary USD$
$53,920
Number of profesionals in USA
284,000

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