Type of Job:

Blue collar
Generative AI will mostly impact white-collar jobs by automating tasks or changing how work is done. Blue-collar jobs will stay in demand, possibly leading to higher pay.

What Constitutes Artificial intelligence (AI)?

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a technology that allows systems, whether software or machine-based, to autonomously make predictions, recommendations, or decisions that impact both real and virtual environments without the need for constant human guidance or intervention.

Sources

Author:

Juan D. Montoya

Juan D. Montoya

Economist and AI researcher.

Will Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers be replaced by AI & Robots?

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers risk of being automated:

Medium

This job has a medium likelihood of substantial automation within the next 20 years, placing it in the third quartile for automation probability among occupations.

Current Degree of Automation:

20
(1-100)

Source

Key findings

Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) is set to impact, rather than transform, the work of heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers.

Blue-collar jobs like this are unlikely to be automated by GenAI due to its inability to perform physical tasks.

The unique automation wave may even increase demand for blue-collar workers, leading to a rise in their income share.

While some skills of this job may be automated in the future, tasks like reading comprehension, critical thinking, and troubleshooting will continue to require human intervention.

Time management and operations monitoring will remain crucial aspects that GenAI cannot fully replace in this field.

How could AI or automation replace or complement job activities?

Artificial intelligence, automation, or LLMs like ChatGPT could potentially assist heavy truck drivers by automating tasks such as route planning, vehicle maintenance tracking, and communication with dispatch.

However, they may not fully replace the need for human drivers due to the complexity of tasks like securing cargo, performing emergency repairs, and following safety protocols.

For instance, AI could help optimize routes to minimize fuel consumption, but drivers would still be essential for physically driving the trucks and ensuring safe delivery of goods.

Job description

Operate a tractor-trailer or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds GVW. May need to unload the truck. Must have a commercial drivers’ license. This job also includes tow truck drivers.

Consequence of Making Errors

76

(1-100)

Serious Source
When errors can lead to serious outcomes, like in transport, automation becomes more likely. As technology advances, safer, reliable systems may replace jobs to minimize risks and enhance efficiency.

How Repetitive is the Job?

64

(1-100)

Important Source
Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers face automation risks due to repetitive tasks. However, automation will likely target specific driving tasks, not the entire role, allowing for new opportunities in the future.
Average Anual salary USD$
$53,090
Number of profesionals in USA
#

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